Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.002917 0.003134 0.003371 0.003649 0.003969 0.004330 0.004771
2024-10-13 0.002576 0.002863 0.003195 0.003613 0.004136 0.004783 0.005671
2024-10-20 0.002284 0.002594 0.002966 0.003459 0.004113 0.004985 0.006304
2024-10-27 0.002126 0.002460 0.002876 0.003451 0.004258 0.005418 0.007366
2024-11-03 0.001911 0.002232 0.002639 0.003213 0.004045 0.005291 0.007519
2024-11-10 0.001838 0.002176 0.002615 0.003258 0.004234 0.005799 0.008920
2024-11-17 0.001785 0.002141 0.002614 0.003331 0.004473 0.006438 0.010886
2024-11-24 0.001708 0.002065 0.002550 0.003301 0.004539 0.006787 0.012437
2024-12-01 0.001674 0.002046 0.002562 0.003385 0.004806 0.007591 0.015800
2024-12-08 0.001616 0.001989 0.002514 0.003369 0.004893 0.008048 0.018653
2024-12-15 0.001551 0.001918 0.002441 0.003303 0.004878 0.008278 0.021011
2024-12-22 0.001530 0.001910 0.002460 0.003391 0.005167 0.009328 0.029164
2024-12-29 0.001505 0.001896 0.002473 0.003479 0.005495 0.010704 0.046463
2025-01-05 0.001453 0.001841 0.002419 0.003447 0.005567 0.011415 0.066261
2025-01-12 0.001382 0.001754 0.002310 0.003304 0.005377 0.011221 0.073347
2025-01-19 0.001345 0.001715 0.002277 0.003297 0.005491 0.012134 0.130289
2025-01-26 0.001266 0.001612 0.002134 0.003077 0.005083 0.011005 0.096618
2025-02-02 0.001246 0.001596 0.002131 0.003118 0.005298 0.012328 0.273515
2025-02-09 0.001232 0.001589 0.002142 0.003186 0.005592 0.014247 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001201 0.001554 0.002106 0.003158 0.005639 0.015121 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001191 0.001552 0.002122 0.003237 0.005986 0.017985 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001165 0.001523 0.002094 0.003221 0.006071 0.019497 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001134 0.001484 0.002046 0.003161 0.006015 0.020027 NaN